Grainne Gilmore
Get 20% off your bill at Pizza Express
Manufacturing output fell for the sixth successive month in August, shrinking by 0.4 per cent, further heightening fears over the health of the UK economy.
The weaker-than-expected figure marks the longest run of falling manufacturing output since 1980.
Manufucturing activity is now 1.9 per cent lower than in August last year, official figures show, as manufacturers grapple with falling consumer demand.
Even the tumbling pound, which could have provided a filip to exporters as their goods became cheaper abroad, has failed to have much impact as the downturn in the European and US economies has also curbed overseas demand.
The wider measure of industrial production, which counts for just under a fifth of Britain's economy, fell by 0.6 per cent in August, taking the annual decline to -2.3 per cent, the biggest drop since March 2005.
Paul Dales, of Capital Economics, said that today's figures were a sign that the economy has entered recession. "This would be just about enough to reduce overall GDP growth from 0 per cent in the second quarter to -0.1 per cent in the third, and therefore push the UK into recession."
A recession is defined as two quarters of negative growth.
There are also concerns that the financial turmoil will further exacerbate the difficult climate for manufacturers.
Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight, the economic consultancy, said: "The likely marked dampening impact on the UK and global economies stemming from the heightened financial sector turmoil can only add to manufacturers' problems."
Today's grim data is likely to strengthen calls for the Bank of England to cut rates by a half point on Thursday. The CBI and British Chambers of Commerce yesterday said that such a move was necessary to head off the possibility of a deeper and more prolonged recession.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Explore your passion for food with the delights of Thai, Indian & Chinese cooking
Read our exclusive 100 Years of Fleming and Bond interactive timeline, packed with original Times articles and reviews
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
05/2005
£13,500
08/2008
£109,950
2006
£10,750
Great car insurance deals online
£100k
The National Skills Academy for Social Care
London
£49,229 - £62,035 pro rata
Charity Commission
London/Liverpool/Taunton
£75k - £85k
Confidential
London
Six Figure
Rolls Royce
Midlands/Europe
From £89,950
Great Investment, River Views
$3.5 million
Also avaliable for rent
Times Online Property Search will help you find it
Amazing Far East Offers - Visit Hong Kong
from £499pp
Cruise the Islands of Hawaii - Pride of America
List your property with two leading travel websites
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths
News International associated websites: Globrix | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Further rate cuts will just lead to further flights of currency from these shores. Hardly a way to save the British economy.
Paul, Coventry,
And how is cutting the base rate going to help companies who want to invest in the future? All that will happen is that British savers will move their money into other currencies, thereby reducing the 'liquidity' of the banks and their ability to lend.
Paul, Coventry,
And how would raising interest rates help companies who want to invest in the future. We have had a decade of people living off interest and increased property values and putting no investment into the future. There is a whole new economy to exploit in renewable energy. Cut rates now!!!
David, Stourbridge, UK
It's time for a rate increase as we have years of pain infront of us and the sooner we have a sound long term plan to return to stability when this storm blows out the better. Its not possible to make it all go away by throughing money at failed banks its just too late.
Crowther, Silsden, UK
Calls for rate cuts are misguided and based on the premise that they will be passed on to customers. A cut would achieve nothing but a temporary smirk on Mr Darlings face, and a further collapse of Stirling.
Pat, Coromandel, NZ
The Bank must not cut the rate on Thursday - a cut will let inflation rise, and this will hit pensioners, savers, and those dependent on benefit. The cut will not be passed on to borrowers, and the recession will come anyway. Rates will the have to be higher for longer to get inflation under control
Chris Dunkerley, Stoke-on-Trent,
Put the interest rates up to 10% and let the much needed correction take its tole. Let the banks fall and be bought for a penny by prudent types (not Brown ones though) Get out of the EU and invest in this country - manufacturing highly technical products which cannot be easily copied!
Gordon MacKay, Cheshire, UK
Rate cuts are not going to make any difference. There is sea change in attitudes going on. Even if base rates are lowered banks will be assessing risks more rigorously and lending less at higher prices. Consumers are realising how vulnerable they are too and are not burdening themselves with debt.
Chris, Chipping Norton,