Tom Bawden in New York
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President Bush was forced yesterday to wade into the turmoil surrounding the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) which underpin America’s entire debt infrastructure, saying that his two leading economic lieutenants – Henry Paulson and Ben Bernanke – were “working this issue very hard”.
Fannie’s shares dived 50 per cent and Freddie’s 48 per cent in midday trading as investors fretted that the Government was making covert preparations to support them and would render their stock worthless.
The shares did regain some lost ground, as it emerged that Mr Bernanke, the US treasury secretary, was seriously considering extending his central bank’s “discount window” of cheap financing to the two groups to help plug their balance sheet gaps, as an alternative to backing them.
Speaking after a meeting with his economic team, President Bush said that “Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are very important institutions”, adding that he had spoken with Mr Paulson, the Treasury Secretary, who had “assured me that he and Ben Bernanke [the Federal Reserve chairman] will be working this issue very hard”.
Although the US Government is preparing to rescue Freddie and Fannie if necessary, it is thought to be keen to avoid such action if it can. Mr Paulson attempted to steer investors away from the notion of a rescue by saying that his preference was for Fannie and Freddie to continue “in their current form”. However, he failed to explicitly rule out the possibility of government backing if the situation continued to deteriorate.
The increasingly poor outlook for the American mortgage market pushed down shares in other groups with a large stake in the fortunes of the housing industry. Lehman Brothers was among the worst hit, with the group’s shares falling by 20 per cent at one point, before it recovered slightly to end 16.6 per cent down at $14.43.
A $5 rise in the price of a barrel of New York crude oil, to breach $147 for the first time, rattled investors further. This helped to push the Dow Jones – already in bear territory after a decline of more than 20 per cent since its last peak in October – to below 11,000 for the first time since July 2006. The Dow went on to close down 128.50 at 11,100.50.
The possibility that Fannie and Freddie could access the discount window briefly reassured the market, prompting a rally that was short-lived as fears about the outlook for the housing market, and the damage it could inflict on the broader economy, “quickly returned to spook investors”. Fannie Mae closed 21.70 per cent lower at $21.97 and Freddie Mac ended the day at $7.75, a loss of 3 per cent.
Fannie and Freddie are a crucial component in the housing industry, and the debt markets in general, because they buy mortgages, package most of them into bonds and sell them on to investors, which they guarantee. They collectively own or guarantee more than half of America’s $12,000 billion outstanding mortgages and their failure would have a domino effect that analysts say would decimate the debt markets and, in turn, the US and global economy.
Chris Whalen, of Institutional Risk Analytics, added: “If people thought for a moment that the US central bank would not ultimately stand behind Fannie and Freddie then the entire US financial system would collapse.”
Mr Whalen forecasts that the US Government will eventually renationalise both groups and merge them. The combined entity would find it easier to raise the money needed to fund the tens of billions of dollars of losses they are collectively expected to suffer from the credit crunch if it had the backing of the taxpayer, Mr Whalen said.
Even if the Government does not end up rescuing Freddie and Fannie, their shareholders feel doomed. Analysts believe that the two enterprises are so thinly capitalised that they could not possibly raise the capital they need to survive if they continue as public companies.
— London’s shares suffered another big sell-off. The FTSE 100 index tumbled 145.2 points, or 2.7 per cent, to close at 5,261.6, its lowest since October 2005. It is now more than 20 per cent below its most recent peak in June last year and therefore officially a bear market.
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The puppets are not to blame, Greenspan, Paulson, Bernanke, carry out orders. Inflate deflate boom and bust the record is stuck in a groove of neverending robbery.
Fractional Reserve banking makes money for the shadow elite, propped up by the oil cartels and the military industrial complex.
NWO
Laurence Howell, Bridgend, UK
"Fannie Mae closed 21.70 per cent lower at $21.97"? You might want to double-check that price. It's closer to $10.
StrPrpn, Washington, DC, USA
No way any government can bale them out.
It's my understanding some big financial UK players have significant interests in these two companies.
This is a very dangerous situation for global banking!
Freddy an Fannie going bust will reduce UK house prices by about 70% on sentiment alone.
Chris, Salisbury,
A $30 billion bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie is nothing for the U.S. We just crank up the printing press to spit out the dollars. Next we're going to spread even more around to consumers so everyone can pay for the $5 a gallon gas. No great shakes, right? Sterling Greenwood, AspenFreePress
Sterling Greenwood, Aspen, USA
This is truly shocking. How did the US get themselves in to this mess.
Fannie and Freddie are too big to fail but also too big to bail. What would nationlising them, printing more cash to keep them afloat do to US inflation and the price of oil? $200 would happen, fast
Richard, Ipswich,
After two terms of inaction, pro business favoritism, ignorance, deception and elitism, Bush "discovers" that under regulated mortgage loaning practices have nearly destroyed major US banks. He professes surprise and support for the banking system. Taxpayer bailout coming....
Eric S, Las Vegas, US
What Bush can do ? Virtually USA is now owned by China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Emirates and so on. The real value of the USD is ZERO. If all banks sell their USD at the same time, not only Fanny and Freddy will bankrupt, but the whole America (and the West at large) as a result of skyrocketing debt.
Jutharat, Bangkok, Thailand
This has to be the biggest joke of the week! George Bush, who has brought the United States to it's financial knees, is trying to solve the problems, which have been caused by his policies.
It's like asking Billy Bunter to tackle obesity.
Marc, Paris, France
He can say whatever he wants too but what anyone expect now is things to get only worse, humanity is bound to pay again fot the herd mentality
Lec Neli, London, UK
Thank you for explaining what Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae actually are. I would imagine that few residents in this united kingdom had ever heard of them before! I wondered if I'd wandered into Alice in Wonderland on hearing George W Bush talking about them on BBC Radio 4 PM yesterday afternoon.
Margaret Stoll, Rochford, England