Daniel Finkelstein
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He looked ridiculously, absurdly, like a copper. If he had been wearing full uniform, and started his conversation with the words “Hello, hello, hello and what have we here”, I wouldn't have been more convinced that I was talking to a policeman. And while this may seem like a trivial observation, I promise you it isn't. The fact that he looked like a copper is central to my argument.
Last Friday I was on the BBC Daily Politics programme discussing the ins and outs of the Mandelson reshuffle, when suddenly a new guest appeared and the subject changed.
The man opposite me was Lord Mackenzie of Framwellgate - straight back, commanding manner, evenin'-all moustache - and I soon discovered that my supposition that he had been with the force was correct. Having risen to the rank of chief superintendent, he was now a former president of the Police Superintendents Association. And Lord Mackenzie had a thing or two he wanted to say about the resignation of Sir Ian Blair, as Commissioner of the Metropolitan Police.
The point he wanted to make was that with the intervention of London Mayor Boris Johnson, the commissioner's job had become a political football. His Lordship did not want “party politics” to become involved in policing. He thought “the independence” of the police was critical. We engaged in some sparring on this point for a few minutes, and then he got up to leave.
As he headed backstage, one of the other contributors to the show turned to me and whispered: “I thought you were going to point out that he is a Labour peer.”
“He is a what?” I replied incredulously. I have rarely been so regretful of ignorance than I was at that moment. I had just been given a lecture on the importance of the party political independence of the police force by a man who takes the Labour Whip in Parliament.
However, I am not writing this column simply to point this out, just because it is a devastating fact that I failed to deploy at the right moment. No, to do that would be self-indulgent. And childish.
I am writing it because Lord Mackenzie used a common little trick that you often come across in politics. One that bedevilled the entire controversy last week about the sacking of Ian Blair. He confused two types of independence - a desirable type and an undesirable type - pretending they were one and the same. And it is that, not him, that I am writing this column to expose. Really.
The idea of independence is valued in politics because independence of mind is both rare and useful. James Surowiecki's book The Wisdom of Crowds has become famous for its assertion that large groups of amateurs are capable of better judgments than individual experts or small groups of experts. What has been forgotten is that Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, the title of the Charles Mackay book that Surowiecki is playing off, is often a better description of how groups really behave.
What turns crowd wisdom into crowd madness is that independence is so difficult to ensure. For the average judgment provided by a large group to be wise, it is, as Surowiecki makes clear, necessary for the individuals to be making their judgments independently of each other. And they so rarely are. Even when they think that they are.
And that is why it matters that Lord Mackenzie looks like a copper. There are two reasons why he does so. The first is that he joined the police force because he looked like a policeman. the second that he looks like a policeman because he joined the police force.
If the first of these reasons seems implausible to you, consider this - an extraordinary piece of work by the behavioural scientist Brett Pelham, using the national directory of the American Dental Association, shows that people called Dennis are disproportionately likely to become dentists. It is also the case that people called Florence are disproportionately likely to move to Florida and people called Louise to move to Louisiana. Our anxiety to be with people who are like us makes us join up with others whom we resemble or sound like, even when we don't consciously realise that they do.
As for looking like a policeman because he joined the force, this is hardly unusual. Professors, football players, nurses, I could go on. Professionals look, sound and dress like each other to a marked degree. I was amused at last week's Tory conference to see how party members have begun to ape David Cameron and George Osborne. Who, of course, ape each other.
Evolutionary psychologists have a simple explanation for this behaviour. We co-operate with those who do not share our genes because it has been a successful evolutionary strategy to work with those who will reciprocate our favours. Together with those people we then compete, sometimes aggressively, with other groups. In order to create groups we trust and exclude those who should not be trusted, we conform to group norms, beginning to look and sound like each other.
So as Lord Mackenzie demonstrates (you can see it, not just hear it), independence from each other, real independence of mind, is hard to find. Even though it is very valuable. A police service where there was genuine independence of mind, rather than groupthink, would be superior - more receptive to the criticisms and ideas of others.
It was this desirable independence that Lord Mackenzie, and other critics of Boris Johnson's intervention, were trying to evoke. Unfortunately, it is not what they meant. What they meant was not that they wanted police to be more independent of each other, but that they wanted them to be more independent of the voter. And this is ironical.
For what is the one way to ensure that small groups of individuals, all thinking the same, serve the public good and not just each other? It is to make them accountable to a very large group of extremely diverse people, each with a small but different stake in the outcome. In other words, democracy.
Political accountability is not perfect. Even very large groups, such as millions of voters, are not truly independent and suffer from groupthink. In representative democracies, politicians can form little groups and not be as independent of each other as good decision making would require. But democratic accountability, for all its imperfections, is still superior to allowing a profession, such as the police, effectively to manage itself.
In the Blair case the idea of independence, a noble one, is being turned upon itself. The police are asking to be independent of public management, so that they can carry on being too dependent on each other.
This is an argument that must be resisted. And I am glad that Boris Johnson has resisted it.
daniel.finkelstein@thetimes.co.uk
Daniel Finkelstein is a weekly columnist and Comment Editor of The Times. His blog, Comment Central, is a personal round up of the best political opinion on the web. Before joining the paper in 2001, he was adviser to both Prime Minister John Major and Conservative leader William Hague
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Re: Mel Jennings comments - as we know, Blair did not get sacked, he resigned. There wer some skeletons in the cupboard, however, in this current PC world, leave early, get a massive payoff and a good index linked pension. Us poor taxpayers are having to pay for all of this.
Charles Edington, Melton Mowbray, Leics.
As I understand it, Ian Blair resigned rather than endure an explanatory session, during which he would have been required to defend the indefensible. Dress a person up with a title and the gullible public, in what appears to be a class-crippled society, seem to be unable to recognize incompetence.
Tony Atkins, Cairns, Australia
Yes, Boris Johnson should hold the police accountable, but he must abide by proper procedure and not act in a unilateral, reckless way. He did not consult with other members of the MPA at all over the sacking of Ian Blair. This is what sets a dangerous precedent.
Mel Jennings, SE3,
All Chief Constables should be elected on 4 year contracts by the people of that force's area. If they want to stand for re-election they would have to stand on their record.
Stephen, St. Ives, England
Why on earth should the Police not be answerable to the public ?
I remember the snide jokes made about the local "Watch Committee". Now the self same "left wing intelligenstia"" want them back.
For a start, more Chief Constables who have actually spent time at the "sharp end" would help.
Peter Bolt, Redditch, UK
Democracy is an ignorant and inefficient beast, promoting chaos unless kept on a very tight reign. People who like good order and structure distrust it. But without it there will be tyranny. Democracy and Control must remain in permanent tension, to limit power and to preserve Society's freedoms.
Kevin Beach (Solicitor), Crawley, England
Self-regulation by true professions is justified insofar as the general public are not obliged to patronise them. But we are all forced to pay for Police via taxation, hence it is wrong to describe them as a profession, and their leaders should be elected by and be accountable to the public.
Gordon Alexander, Frome, UK
Having democratically elected police chiefs worries me. Are they still police officers or are they now politicians? Sir Ian Blair had already spent money with an image consultant, would he have been more inclined to do so if he thought his job/election depended on it?
Carol, Leicester, UK
This explains the group think of the metropolitan class which of course includes the media
As far as the police like other public bodies the public who have the collective wisdom need to be able to cut the .... and directly vote for those in charge - the chief constables
David Cartright, Birmingham,
If the police were independent, they would not be accountable for their actions. Unfortunately, that is to some extent the case in Sussex, where police dishonesty can go unchecked by both the police and the spineless Authority which is supposed in some sense to have authority over them.
Geoffrey Madden, Pevensey, UK
What these cops fear is being told what to do because they want the monopoly on that.How typical of this hypocrite to cite the interference of politics in policing when he's clearly a political animal himself.Thank goodness for pieces like this to enlighten us on these characters
Kevin, London, England
Senior police officers are not always mindful of local needs - more about their next promotion. They need outside control.
Mike, Sole Street, England
I suppose it's possible that dentists are more likely to call their sons Dennis than the rest of us are, and that the children of dentists tend to become dentists themselves; etc.
Frank Upton, Solihull,
Police independence? I thought they had that.
Which is why we don't have adequate policing in the streets at the hours it is needed. Instead they are in cars or behind desks.
I think if the chief constable was accountable to the public, our streets would be much safer.
BMac, Dingwall, Scotland
I'm interested in the Dennis', Florences and Louises though.
What's the source?
Respectable books have sources as footnotes, or references. Why shouldn't newspaper articles have the same, to save me this trouble?
Graham Rounce, London, UK
heaven forbid that doctors, bankers,lawyers or accountants should be allowed to manage themselves. Oh, right, yes, sorry
And the wisdom of crowds only works when the answer doesn't matter, honestly.
Good article though, I enjoyed it
Geoffrey, Sydney,
Independence of the police is one of those strange British fictions dreamt up by politicians who want things to be kept at arms length in case things get awkward. In reality no service paid for by our taxes can be truly independent and neither should they be. Boris was right and should be applauded.
Paul Owen, Birmingham, UK
So, " birds of a feather stick together"( an old Enlish saying, for all you foreigners out there). I just saved you 10 paragraphs.
R>Taylor, london,
Mr Finkelstein.
An interesting and thought provoking premise.
Denver Watt, Osaka,