Simon Jenkins
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Do cheer up. There is no such thing as all bad news. Every cloud has a silver lining. Most Britons are still in work and a third of them are on secure state incomes. In the words of Rudy Giuliani, the New York mayor, after 9/11, take the kids to the park, buy a pizza, see a show.
Nor is that all. Some good things are happening. The price of oil has tumbled 40% since July. House prices are down 13% from last year. Whatever the papers imply, this is good news far more than it is bad. Those with strong nerves and some money can even buy shares that are unbelievably cheap.
Restaurants are emptying, air travel is easing and I noticed last week that central London traffic jams were strangely diminished. Soon hotels will be discounting heavily and plumbers will not cost an arm and a leg.
Yes, some people are poor and some are out of work, but not everyone; not even a majority. Keynes was right. The most important thing in a recession is for those with money to keep spending it. Those without can cite Aquinas and remember that the best things in life are free.
The greatest boon to result from the financial collapse is the end of the age of hysteria. We shall never again hear Gordon Brown inflating the dotcom bubble or boasting “the death of boom and bust”. We are free of Peter Mandelson professing himself “intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich”. Those whose vulgar boosterism was unsuited to national leadership have been silenced.
Instead we can listen to the sweeter voice of caution. Last week on the BBC a construction executive declared “an end to the tall cranes” and a reversion to the repair and renovation of existing buildings. I cheered. The bursting of the Ken Livingstone speculative boom in London property is untrammelled good news. New commercial lettings in London and other cities have all but ceased. We must reuse what we have. The Livingstone skyscrapers, whether for bankers or luxury flats, will one day seem a carbon-guzzling turn-of-the-century blind alley, just so much froth.
Gone, too, should be the facile hyping of home ownership by housing ministers such as Yvette Cooper and Caroline Flint. Their talk of the “right” of all young people to buy a house saddled millions with debt they could not afford and with career inflexibility. In every other European country, most young adults pay rent.
The collapse of the buy-to-let market should lead to rents plummeting and people spending realistically on housing. The end of the home-ownership boom should encourage existing owners to sublet and reduce the underoccupancy that has long inflated British house prices. This is a good thing for all.
The green belt, threatened by Hazel Blears’s craven kowtowing to speculators, can breathe a sigh of relief. The government’s spurious “eco-towns” should be halted and its “pathfinder” bulldozers should fall silent across northern cities. Economy should return to the overheated property market, with builders switching to energy-saving conservation from high-cost development.
The impact of recession on government should be even more benign. Only now do we see how casually the rampant growth in revenue has led ministers to behave. There should be no more extravagant pay settlements for doctors; no more thoughtless purchase of NHS and ID-card computers; no more of the £70 billion that Labour has spent on “advice” . The death of spurious consultancy and the reassertion of civil service morale should be another gain of the recession.
Someone may even reverse Tessa Jowell’s capitulation to the International Olympic Committee over the cost of the Olympics – though sadly not Boris Johnson, the London mayor, who has gone native; £9 billion of public money cannot be justified for two weeks of sport when the exchequer is bleeding to death. Britain would gain worldwide kudos if it announced a 1940s-style austerity Games, in place of the turgid extravaganza at Stratford.
The rewards of adversity will go even deeper. The dingdong of political debate in the past two decades has depended on a dichotomy of free markets and state control. The market has had the best tunes. It has now met a cataclysm similar to that which afflicted state planning in the 1970s – if not the 1940s. Thatcherism has for quarter of a century assumed an ideological supremacy. Now it seems in ruins. From thesis and antithesis should emerge a mature synthesis.
Markets cannot be denied. They allocate resources in any enterprise economy. But markets require regulation by a controlling state. In extremis they require the confidence on which they depend to be guaranteed by the state. Citizens as taxpayers must underpin that confidence if they wish to avoid the most ruthless form of “market correction”, as now being experienced.
The age of hysteria was the converse of today’s (we hope brief) age of panic. The “mergers and acquisitions” mania that spread through almost every sector of the British economy now seems destructive and expensive. It distorted corporate incentives and made enterprise no more than the appeasement of greed. The thesis that the disruption of selling Heathrow, breaking up railways or disposing of utilities was justified by efficiency was never proven – and now looks sick. It saddled vital services with unsustainable debt. All this must surely end.
Britain will emerge from recession with manufacturing shattered. But the services on which the economy relies should be in recoverable order. The country remains a world-class supplier of hospitals, education, retailing, tourism, culture and even financial services. London is still a bolt hole for refugee and rentier alike. Its appeal to the world’s rich can only increase as its prices cool.
The age of hysteria should give way to an age of humility. The bombast of Tony Blair and his worldwide crusade for capitalist democracy – enforced with bombs and belligerence – was a counterproductive obscenity. How can we lecture Russia, China, Africa and the Muslim world when we cannot even regulate a sub-prime mortgage market? Where now the pledge to “end world poverty” or to “bring peace to the Middle East”? These presumptions were not just arrogant but absurd.
H L Mencken said practical politics was the business of “keeping the populace alarmed, and hence clamorous to be led to safety, by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary”. Today’s hobgoblin has been a war on terror. The credit crunch is not imaginary. It should cause government to concentrate on things that matter. It should mean no more macho distractions such as 42-day detention, extravagant surveillance and Home Office-generated anti-Muslim prejudice. There should be no more crazy defence projects and bloated security programmes. There may even be an end to the Titan prisons.
Social economists such as Richard Layard and Richard Sennett have long emphasised noneconomic gains in contributing to the good life. They point out that human happiness depends not on ever-rising incomes but on the ordering of leisure and a sense of self-worth. The downfall of the masters of the universe leaves space for the rise of the masters of realism and personal satisfaction.
These are uncertain times, but in every disaster there is good news to be found. For all Pandora’s ills that have spilt across the nation this past month, we should remember the little creature who stayed behind in that mythical box of catastrophes. Her name was hope. She was a cheery fellow.

Simon Jenkins edited The Times from 1990-92, going on to contribute a twice weekly column until 2005. He now writes weekly for The Sunday Times. He was formerly political editor of The Economist and Editor of The Evening Standard, and has been deputy chairman of English Heritage and a member of the Millennium Commission. He was knighted for his services to journalism in 2004
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Slight contradiction there, Simon: How can you say "The most important thing in a recession is for those with money to keep spending it," while at the same time calling for an "Austerity Games"? Surely the Olympics are a perfect example of a Keynesian public works programme?
Neil, London, UK
When will the US get real? Their rather cavalier attitude to their global influence conjures up images of Eden's Britain...
David Marusza, cardiff, wales
Its bankers greed and fraudulent cooking of the books that has created the present problem and given capitalism and democracy a bad name. They need be jailed and their assets recovered as a good start to a new behaviour in our society that does not look to US materialism as its God or guide.
jbentley, Loule, Portugal
And rationing! You forgot rationing. Why should anyone have more than one ounce of cheese a week, or two ounces of butter? Rationing was Labour's greatest triumph in the Forties. They even rationed bread, which wasn't rationed during the war. How we loved them for it.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/USA
The Pessimist must ask: Civilization, the failed experiment? The Optimist replies: Wait what we got up our sleeve..
George, Stillwater , Oklahoma
And do remember how markets flourished under almost any tyranny, along the silk road, Roman empire, Dzhengis, Medieval armed caravans paying custom and toll at feudal turn-stiles, credit was by letter under the Lombard and Hanseatic leagues, etc. Even the Vikings were traders besides marauders.
George, Stillwater , Oklahoma
Ho hum. They never learn. Next melt-down is sure to be just around the corner.
Brooks, Munich, Germany
I'm convinced that several people in high places had a vested interest in persuading people to buy houses... to keep the money go round going long enough for them to get out with a profit before it all crashed...
paulcooke, Gloucester,
I sympathise with a lot of the points made by Simon Jenkins but... Essentially his is an apology for a failed system, highlighting 'benefits' that may accrue, perhaps. What is largely avoided and excused elsewhere is that this is a Grand Failure by Capitalism on a global scale. There is more yet!
John Kalber, Rustington, West Sussex
A cry in the wilderness; a pipe dream, Simon Jenkins! Wake up to reality. "We all go into the silent funeral; nobody's funeral, for there is no one to bury." Eliot again! I can't get away from him as you very well know.
Ashok chatterjee, London, UK
Mr Jenkins appears to have lost it completely. Only he can link the global credit crunch, which will not see him personally destitute, with the defence of free speech in the West. When are you going to write about people being hanged in Iran for converting to christianity, Mr Jenkins?
TonyG, Newark, UK
How can the collapse of buy-to-let lead to falling rents? Erm, simple economics of supply and demand dictate that if there are fewer properties to rent (and demand will be greater given that fewer people will want to get on the housing ladder), then landlords will be able to dictate higher rents!
Michael Clarke, London,
"Britain will emerge from recession with manufacturing shattered. But the services on which the economy relies should be in recoverable order". So in other words, our economy will be rebuilt on the old foundations of sand. This is a major lesson of this downturn: that services alone won't suffice.
Robert C, London, UK
"Yes, some people are poor and some are out of work, but not everyone"
Reminds me of a line - "No one is poor, well no no one who matters".
"Only now do we see how casually the rampant growth in revenue has led ministers to behave". Perhaps you've been asleep, its been obvious for years.
Neil Murphy, cromer,
Money is debt. Debt is money.
Andrew Milner, Karuizawa, Japan
Dear God ! Dr.Pangloss Lives ! And rents will not come plummetting down so long as the Housing Benefit scam continues to be paid.
Tom Benford, Kyoto, Japan
the masters of the universe got caught up in one huge self perpetuating chemical reaction, that was at its base an extremely complicated pyramid selling scheme. they made huge mistakes, but dont condemn the whole capitalist system. if you must condemn, condemn the people who regulated the city,
will, grimsby, uk
Good for Simon Jenkins. As an American age 77 I think of the Depression as a time of renewal in the arts & of public decency.
Ruskin: "There is no wealth but life."
Jesus: "Even when a man has more than enough, his wealth does not give him life." (Luke 12)
Ernest G., Tompkins County NY, USA
So now we get a slide to the left followed by a lurch to the right , the poor are going to be poorer and the rich will end up richer after a brief readjustment. The government have no right to use our money to bail out anyone and market forces will win over inept controllers, just as they are now.
am, letchworth,
The first piece of good sense I've read for some time. The financial melt down has been known for some tiime. It is part of the development of the human species and will happen again it cannot be prevented. The human species is durable and will survive, so put on a brave face there is a new world.
Peter Giles, Augusta, USA
What a foolish article, full of misconceptions and semi-serious disinformation. We have leadership that is being looked up to by the entire world, at this time that we are in danger of total meltdown.
jim cormick, Buenos aires, argentina
Brilliant article Simon. One hopes that the government will now focus on solving real problems, rather than inventing new problems to distract the general public. Let us welcome a return to real issues that matter.
Saba Jamall, Langley, UK
You have no idea do you
paulem, notts, uk
How much do you earn, Simon?
Pete, Hull, UK
Just whistling in the dark. Those we resented before will just get their servants cheaper.
john, whitehaven,
The correction is better coming now than later. It would have been better if it had come earlier. The concern is the 'solution' of socialising the losses (whilst profits were privatised) may just end up storing up more trouble for later on.
Richard, Frankfurt, Germany
Simon Jenkins cannot conceal his glee at the collapse of free markets. Why should he care if peoples life savings are lost in a bank collapse or bailiffs evict them from their homes? As long restaurants are less crowded and plumbers are being paid less all is right with the world.
Alan Trotter, London, UK
Part of the problem is the third of employees are "working" for the state busily polishing their ivory towers sending money to flakey banks for a half percent more and making sure the pension pot is fully linked- to what is now a moot point.
I agree on the whole this correction will be good news.
Tom Taylor-Duxbury, Ludlow, UK
Can't we all just go back to talking about Paris Hilton
Nick Mortimer, London,
Capitalism is an expression of the Human Condition with all its virtues and vices and is as free, unpredictable and uncontrolable as the four winds. Supressing Capitalism has been tried and failed, the Human Condition always wins through.
Age of hysteria gone? Look up the word "cycle".
John Bowman, Sarlat, France
I think it was Plato who said: "Whenever I want to feel rich, all I have to do is walk through a market and look at all the things I don't want to buy". Trouble is, it only works by exception; if we all did it there'd be no market.
Ken Leyland, Liverpool, U.K.
This all sounds very like a world described by George Orwell in 1984.
Orwell made much of the two tier society, the few who ruled and and lived well and the opressed masses who were manipulated and struggled to survive.
You seem to have missed out on that aspect of your new society.
Joe Hand, Perth, Australia