Angus Macleod, Scottish Political Editor
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No-one can possibly overestimate the scale of the disaster which hit Gordon Brown and the Labour Party in the Glasgow East constituency in the early hours of this morning.
Here was a seat which has been a fortress for Labour in Scotland where Labour did not so much count their votes as weigh them. And yet, they saw their 13,507 majority overturned by a triumphant Scottish National Party (SNP).
The shock of this result casts another huge pall of gloom over the Prime Minister as he goes on his annual holiday. It raises massive questions about his continued leadership of the Labour Party.
Backbench MPs will have to face the fact that the Glasgow East result, after a similar by-election disaster in Crewe and Nantwich in May, makes Mr Brown look like very damaged goods as their leader. They must now ask themselves if they can possibly win a general election under Mr Brown and the Prime Minister’s Cabinet colleagues will no doubt be asking the same question.
The major concerns for many households in one of the most deprived areas of Britain were the rising cost of fuel and food, the ongoing rate of street crime and the whole issue of law and order generally. But voters were obviously angry at the non-appearance of Mr Brown in the constituency during the by-election. Labour also suffered from the refusal of their first choice candidate to accept the nomination and that Margaret Curran was a 4th choice.
Mrs Curran fought a focused and largely sure-footed campaign, and still Labour lost with thousands of previously rock-solid, loyal voters turning their back on the party that their families have supported for generations and administering the political equivalent of a mugging.
Alex Salmond, the SNP leader and Scottish First Minister, had promised a political earthquake in this by-election and he delivered, although some might say this was a tsunami rather than a mere earthquake. They will conclude that in Scotland there are very few Labour seats safe from their incursions. By taking Labour’s third safest seat in Scotland, they have proved that last year’s win in the Scottish Parliament elections was no one-day wonder and that they are now Scotland’s leading party while Labour in Scotland goes into freefall.
This may have been a protest vote by people in Glasgow East fed up with rises in the cost of living. But it also showed that Labour’s core support in Scotland is also now so thoroughly fed up with Labour that they think nothing of voting for the party’s main political enemy in order to teach it a lesson.
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G Brown's finacial wizardry and prudence was a con - but Glasgow East had nothing to do with Brown - it was Scottish nationalism and North Sea oil, stupid. With no Conservative representation (too English for the Scots) at Westminster, and my prediction that Scottish Labour seats are reduced, the U.
Ted, Northampton,
Shame to see anti-Scottish postings here. We are suffering even more from the excesses of this Labour government due to the cost of fuel and the contrived antipathy towards 4x4 vehicles, however efficient they are.
This Government will do anythng to increase and squander revenue, it seems.
D.Henry, Edinburgh, Scotland UK
Who cares what happened to Labour - THEY LOST. What about concentrating on the winners, the SNP - THE GOVERNMENT OF SCOTLAND - or is that too much for you English to contemplate. The politics of the UK has changed for ever. Thanks, Gordon and Wendy.
Brian Smith, Edinburgh, Scotland
The ordinary punters have gone into revolt. But the Establishment can`t be in any great hurry to get rid of Gordon and New Labour .... it`s the best Tory government that the UK has ever had!
Bill Robertson, Eaglesham, Glasgow
w.b.robertson, eaglesham, glasgow, scotland
The only way to get "rid of Scotland " is for ENGLAND to leave the UK.If Scots wish to leave the UK -THEY will vote for it. It is extremely close to such a scenario.UNLIKE right wing anti Scottish sentiments in parts of England-the Scots are not anti English but anti New Labour/Tory establishment
alasdair , stornoway,
Go now Mr Brown, the electorate are mighty sick of you. Labour in meltdown. All over by the end of labour party conference.
Victor, London, England.
Labours difficulty now is that they can't replace Brown without going to the nation.
Having two unlected prime ministers is unacceptable in a democratic society.
Additionally any one in the labour party is hardly going to put themselves up against him- as if win/lose they are damned
David, Carlisle, Cumbria
Sleepless nights for the New Labour pack , unemployment is looming. And , at last , we can get rid of Scotland
swisschris, New Malden, England
Apart from the well earned loss by Labour what interests me is that around 25,000 people or 42% voted. This indicates to me that Scotland is over represented in Parliament.
R Fowler, braunton, UK
Hear! Hear! James Jackson, I was about to say the same thing myself.
John Mills, Bognor Regis, UK
Brown will go down in history as the Prime Minister who never won an election. It's just a shame we have to wait two more years before we can write the final chapter for him.
Ian, London, UK
State leaders have, for thousands of years, claimed or believed that they have a God-given right to rule. Unfortunately, even the mightiest fall in time. Gordon Brown is a far fetch from being mighty and will suffer less ignominy and shame the sooner he goes.
Roy Shaw, Portishead, UK
This Government has introduced regulations, that assess many trades of their competence; If only they could apply this to themselves, because in many peoples eyes: they are been found wanting. And are not fit for purpose.
The state of of which this country's in - stops with the Labour party.
A Walton, Leicester, England
The saddest thing here, Labour are more interested in winning the next election rather than doing what is best for this country.
I don't have a problem with Brown - I blame his immediate cabinet for the mess he's in.
DH, Newport, UK
It gets even worse for Mr Brown and Nu labour. They have comprehensively ignored the Working Class, produced policies which are detrimental to the Working Class such as unfettered immigration. They have insulted the Working Class, as fat, and lazy. Result, people turn to nationalism.
John, Wolverhampton,
How can this government with so little public support claim a mandate to govern for a further 2 years.This isn't just about Brown it's the whole Labour party.
Andrew, Bristol, UK
This is to be expected: Scotland is Scotland and England is England and England should have an English Prime Minister, or at least one from an English constituency.
England needs an English parliament and let this be a nail in the coffin of McBrown's " Britishness" (it meaningless).
Peter GODDARD, Epsom, England, EU
All the labour pundits will say "it's only a by-election, the voters are sending us a message, we are listening" well they had better listen with their good ear next time.
trevor norton, Birmingham,
I look forward to the commentators saying
"...and if this result were repeated throughout the country Labour would have 23 seats"
Brian Gilbert, HAMPTON Middx, England
lets face it, Gordon Brown is the new Anthony Eden; best prepared man for the job and his downfll isover the policy area he was meant to be strongest at. For Eden it was foreign policy for Brown it is hte economy.
Sui Chung, HOng Kong, Hong Kong
Well if I can't underestimate the scale of the disaster, then to say it's not significant would be correct? How sloppy of an "expert" to be so inexpert in his use of language - what he meant of course was that the scale of the disaster could not be overestimated....
James Jackson, Denpasar,
Soon we shall see all present Labour MPs being forced to pick up litter and clean graffiti to justify incapacity benefit, claimed for mass instances of breakdown, resulting from their personal sense of rejection, following their political extinction, and under legislation that they have introduced.
Steve Buckel, Braunau-am-Inn, Austria
The problem for labour is they haven't got anyone else with the capacity to lead. The cabinet is a basket case of neverwossers. Brown also never delivered on the referendum and that caused a lot of personal resentment.
m wilson, bidache, france
One very telling aspect of this campaign. My Gran has lived there for 60 years and it's the first time she's been canvassed on her own door step. Alex Salmond spent half and hour with her. Labour were notably absent. The campaigned in pockets - and small ones at that. Now they're paying dearly.
Rhi McCrorie, Bangor, Wales
They are no "Different" to anyone in "England", taxed to the "Grave" and are trying to "Avoid going There"!
Paul, Newtown, Powys, UK