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Cabinet ministers last night set Gordon Brown a two-month deadline to win back voters’ trust or face a full-scale ministerial revolt.
Labour, reeling from defeat in the Glasgow East by-election, plunged into further disarray as MPs and union leaders called for a leadership challenge. Senior ministers lined up to blame the loss of the party’s 25th safest seat on rises in the cost of living. In private, however, a number are preparing to confront Mr Brown this autumn if Labour’s poll ratings do not improve to at least 30 per cent.
One Cabinet minister told The Times that Jack Straw, the Justice Secretary, would be asked to tell Mr Brown to go. If he refused, others were prepared to lead the coup. Another said that it would be miraculous if the Prime Minister were to win back enough support to avoid a challenge later this year.
Labour’s current poll rating averages 26 per cent. Professor John Curtis, of Strathclyde University, an election and poll expert, said that engineering a return to 30 per cent in two months was, while not impossible, the minimum requirement. “No party has come back from below 30 per cent to win the next election,” he said.
A ComRes poll published last night finds only 24 per cent of voters intending to vote Labour, 22 points behind the Conservatives on 46 per cent.
Mr Brown made a barely concealed plea for time as he opened Labour’s national policy forum in Warwick. He repeatedly used the phrase “24 months” – a little over the maximum he has left before he must call an election – as he urged activists not to allow the Conservatives to return to power.
Glasgow East, lost to the SNP on a 22 per cent swing, is the latest and heaviest blow in an electoral pummelling in which Labour has lost 331 council seats, the London mayoralty and the Crewe & Nantwich by-election in the past three months.
Paul Kenny, the general secretary of the GMB union, said that Mr Brown should submit himself to a leadership election to end the uncertainty over his position. “There’s no point dressing it up; it was an unmitigated disaster,” he said. “The MPs have got to make a strong decision as to whether they want to go into an election with Gordon Brown or have a contest.”
The Labour MP Graham Stringer said that the Cabinet should have an “honest discussion” with Mr Brown. “We need a new start and that can only come from a debate around the leadership,” he said.
Calls for a challenge came against the backdrop of clashes between ministers and union leaders at the three-day Warwick meeting to decide Labour’s future policies. Negotiations over the use of the private sector in public services were deadlocked last night and John Hutton, the Business Secretary, provoked fury by questioning the right of union leaders to influence policy.
The dwindling of individual donors willing to bankroll the party has left Labour, in dire financial straits, more dependent than ever on union funding. Efforts to attract wealthy new backers have had little success as evidence mounts that the party is heading for election defeat.
The timing of the by-election at the start of the summer recess prevents an immediate challenge but it also provides Labour MPs with weeks to reflect on their position. Higher than usual turnouts in the Glasgow East and Crewe & Nantwich by-elections indicate that voters are increasingly motivated to bloody the party’s nose. One of those plotting to remove Mr Brown said: “It suits our purposes to have this fester for a month.”
Labour whips have been asked by No 10 to take regular soundings before the party’s annual conference begins on September 20 in Manchester. They are reporting that possible candidates to replace Mr Brown, who include David Miliband, James Pur-nell, Alan Johnson and Jon Cruddas, are already being wooed by MPs.
The Prime Minister intends to reassert his authority with a Cabinet reshuffle after he returns from his holiday. Allies of Mr Brown said that there had been similar threats of a Cabinet-led coup after the May local elections that had come to naught. Downing Street is also playing on concerns that a change of leadership this autumn would require a general election by the middle of next year at the latest.
David Cameron called for an autumn election. “I think the Prime Minister should have his holiday but then I think we need an election. I think we need change in this country and that’s how change should come about,” the Tory leader said.
Alistair Darling led a phalanx of senior ministers who took to the air-waves to insist Mr Brown was still the man to lead the party. “I believe Gordon Brown is the best Prime Minister, the best leader of our party,” the Chancellor told Radio 4’s World at One.
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Whether or not Brown is leader by Christmas is purely academic. If Labour introduce the car tax increases planned for next year, they will lose the election. Simple as.
D Tandy, Cardiff, Wales
It irks me to hear the senior Labour leadership blame their woes on the state of the economy.
This is not true.
People are very unhappy with the path this country and society are taking under Labour, and the economy is merely tangential.
John F, London,
If the labour party had any integrity, was actually listening to the public or genuinely cared about this country then they would call a general election soon.
Getting rid of Brown is not the answer as he isn't really the problem.
Bill, Knaresborough, UK
Cabinet reshuffle? Deckchairs on the Titanic spring to mind!
'
Michael Smith, Southampton, UK
I cannae work out if it's a greek tragedy or a scottish farce... and Gordie's fake smile on tv last night was like that of a fox eating something or other off a wire brush- not pretty.
eric , paris,
Whether or not Brown is in charge Labour will lose, and probably for a generation. The economy, mass immigration changing our society, violent crime, education, the NHS to mention but a few - people are fed up with Labour and no longer believe the spin - the facts are now so obvious.
David, London,
I have no time for GB he's now getting what he deserves for all the years he taxed and spent as C of E. Howerver there are many people commenting on him not being elected to PM and him being replaced. In the UK we vote for a party, not a PM ,the PM is the leader of the Party voted into power.
Dave, Mold, UK
I would also like to say that Gordon Brown and his Labour party are seen to be destroying the fabric of British society.
When we continually hear of all the new laws and initiatives dished out on a daily basis we find it incredible and hard to believe.
roger, marbella, spain
I wonder what contitent Roger lived in before? And the view from Europe is that Britain is chaos and deprivation is it? Well that's the view from here too - we also get the Daily Mail.
Graham, Sutton Coldfield,
Brown must go now
Matt, Naples, Italy
'Sorry is the hardest word...'
There is nothing much anyone can do right now with the mess GB has created. So far nothing is his fault., such is his depth of denial.
Let him stay a bit longer, at least until he has to admit he has made mistakes. His legacy will be a cup of economic poison.
Tricia, Sussex, uk
I now live in Europe and the opinion from these shores of Britain is one of chaos and deprivation. NOT an encouraging picture.
roger, marbella, spain
I love all the comments from folks not based in the UK. Try living here before you comment thank you.
We have an unelected leader acting more like a dictator and a government drunk on power passing illogical laws on a daily basis. Fingers crossed for the next two months to fly by.
james, Glasgow,
Labour will lose the next election, no matter who is leader. And Jack Straw hardly wants to inherit that prospect. He'll try to bide his time until after the election. Better to be a leader of a party with the possibility of a come-back, than to be a PM without a mandate.
Brian Eave, Pembroke, Wales
An unelected national leader seems so "not right" to me. I am trying to determine why that is something that is not considered unacceptable in the UK. Perhaps there are historical examples when it has been useful?
Neal Burnside, Chumley, UK
So Cameron is calling for a general election now. Before he gets carried away with his usual opportunism let me remind him that the Tories have only just won 1 by election from Labour after over 20 years.
I don't recall him calling for an election when Major was losing one after another to Labour.
Peter H, Felixstowe, UK
Never forget that things change very quickly in politics.With oil now on the way down to below $100 within 2 months it only needs Boris to open his mouth.Sooner or later affable Cameron will have to start talking policies.
PS I am not a labour supporter
Bob Greenaway, Tamarin, Mauritius
Owen, you cant be serious. Brown's unpopular because nobody wants a govt led by someone they never had a chance to vote for, especially one who doesn't seem up to the job, and only got it through yrs of sulking and bullying. This applies equally to the ministers who get their jobs through him.
steve andrews, woking,
There probably is one way that GB could boost his ratings way above 30% in two months and it's not that difficult. All he has to do is give us that EU Referendum that he PROMISED us - Now ! After all as the Lisbon treaty is (supposedly) dead it wont cost him a bean, but he's too stupid to see that
Clive, Gloucester, UK
Mr Darling says Brown is still the best PM and leader of NULAB! I wonder what would be worst? NULAB were defeated by the SNP last year and suffered severly in the local government elections in Scotland. We knew then NULAB were finished before he became PM! Glasgow East just confirms this.
John Edgar, Cupar, Fife, Scotland
Brown's supposed reputation for prudence now seen as the sham that it was. Much of Britain 's gold reserves sold off just before gold began its climb to record levels. A raid on pension funds, recdord levels of taxation and borrowing.He has no mandate to be leader and should call an election now.
Matt Connelly, Doncaster, UK
Over the next 2 months watch how ministers jump ship with diplomacy. Only yesterday a minster said that he would continue to support the Party, but no mention of Gordon Brown. They are all doomed. I am sure they are looking for fresh jobs ringht now.
Vernon Cooper, Somerset, UK
Zanulaba have a real dilemma, ditch Brown who will lose them the next election or call an election they will lose anyway. the country will not tolerate another unelectedPrime Minister, so its one or tother
peter c, devizes, wessex
It is not about the leadership, it is the whole lot of them, why can they not see this? Changing the leader is like changing the driver - quite pointless. The damage has been done over 10yrs not in the last week. Labour are likely to be ousted at long last - I would prefer sooner than later.
Alan, Houghton-Le-Spring, Durham
It annoys me that Brown has to pay the price for what were mostly Blair's mistakes. Iraq was the beginning of the end, he was warned it would eventually push his party over the brink but he refused to listen. All for the benefit of American foreign policy objectives.
Owen, London, UK
So now we see it:
Kinnock -- failed;
Blair won 3 terms;
Brown -- disaster.
And they got rid of Blair! There seems to be a death wish in British politics.
Cheng, Chichester,
The public have spoken through opinion polls and byelection after byelection. This administration is a shambles. We are sick of them and want them to go. We did not elect this PM and believe deeply that he cannot do the job. Yet he and they cling to power.
Is this democracy?
Chris Smith, Belfast, UK
Spoil sports - can't he go now ?
ian payne, walsall,
Great get rid of Brown. Then make him pay back every penny of his salary plus fines plus interest for what he has done to this country. Seems only fair as he has put everybody else on performance related pay.
Heeners, bath,
Richard Mullins also doesn't seem to understand the housing market and associated hype. Is he suggesting that the green felt be concreted to build more hosues that nobody can afford or even need?
He doesn't seem to understand that a 70% reduction in lending will result in house prices collapsiing
Rob, Isle of Wight,
This is pure twaddle!
How can Brown "shape up" in two months when he (along with every other MP) has gone swanning off on his holidays for the next THREE months?
If I were Cameron, I wouldn't let a day go by between now and mid-October when Parliament reassembles without attacking New Labour.
Robert, Hull, UK
Im getting on with the job...its exactly what people want me to do. Do they? Who exactly?
And as for listening to the peoples concerns, this government doesn't even listen to the advice of experts, e.g. 42 day detentions, cannabis reclassification.
j roberts, hull,
the Labour Party as a whole should accept blame for teh state that they are in. The worst thing they can do - but i hope they do it - is to kick out a leader and get into the spiral of leader changing that the Tories did for so long.
There is more to a party than its leader. Or should be.
Stuart Murray, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Richard Mullens does not seem to appreciate that international obligations for wars that we started are not, and should not be, in the list of reducible expenses. The reasons for that principle are obvious to anyone who has a concept of responsibility, something all to often missing in today's UK.
David John Marusza, Cardiff, Wales
I emailed Brown just after he walked into the PM role & invited him to go forth to Scotland along with rest of his cronies. I didn't get a reply of course.He is patently unsuitable for the role and has done this country great economic harm. The so called terrorist threat is nothing compared...
Adrian, Farnborough, England
A second unelected PM is now likely to be foisted on the birthplace of parliamentary democracy by this failed socialist party. No wonder other countries laugh when we try to lecture them on how to run there affairs.
General election NOW, please.
John Weaver, San Javier, Spain
all labour mps are 2 blame not just brown.they gave councils power to spy on anyone they want and to issue on the spot fines for just about anything.brought in a smoking ban when the government figures show that there are 18million of them in the uk ensuring that they lost thier votes overnight.BYE
brian rice, halifax, england
Poor Brown. Let him get on with his job
Tony, liverpool, uk
Brown was quite happy to take the credit when the economy was doing well for the last 10 years (which I don't believe he did much anyway). Now he should hold his hands up to the problems of the economy. He spent inefficiently and left nothing left over. Hardly prudent which he often claims he is.
James, London, UK
When prices rise, sensible citizens cut back their discretionary spending. They reduce energy use and invest in insulation. So why are the troops still in Iraq, why isn't green belt released for building and why no energy conservation measures ? Not to mention the John Lewis list.
richard mullens, London, Europe
Blair's major glaring mistake was supporting Bush in invading Iraq. Brown should never have been PM. He's a workhorse, not a leader. Now Labour must take its medicine for caving in to the Bushies.
Shannon, Richmond, VA, USA
If they hold a leadership contest then we the British people DEMAND a general election. It is quite shocking to have an unelected leader in a 'democracy' like the UK.
To have 2 would be an impossible situation and one we should not have to put up with.
Andy, Newcastle,
Brown was doomed, had Blair stayed he would be out by now. New Labour is about to dissolve in a bickering mess where the talentless proclaim their self belief. What a truly awful bunch. What a shocking way of letting the Tories back in... a total betrayal... some legacy.
Douglas Miller, Fulham,
Face Gordon its time too go,your usless,you have betrayed ever principal of the old and real labour party,We dont need Two Tory Parties.every time you loose,a election,you parrot the same old mantra l will learn by this,but you do nothing,except kick poor white working class in the teeth,
There is o
KENNETH BOWRY, LONDON,
I'm glad that McDarling and other ministers support McBroon and think he is the best best person to lead McLabour.
It's indisputable now that they can't see face reality and are in total disarray.
Gov'ts always lose when they can't face up to replacing a failing PM before an election.
Padraig, Perth, Australia
What an enlightening comment - "It's a high risk job and no longer a job for life".
I'm not aware of anyone in the private sector with job security, especially not a job for life.
She's clearly a dyed-in-wool politician - they must be over-compensated because of no guarantee of a lifetime job !!
Padraig, Perth, Australia
For stabbing Tony Blair in the back, Labour's punishment will be 30 years in the wilderness. Good riddance. I said Brown was second-rate at the time he was lobbed in. I told you so. Now take your medicine.
Paul Francis, Brisbane, Australia